Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Noah to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceFC Noah or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.86
Sardarapat vs FC Noah preview and prediction
The match
Sardarapat host FC Noah in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Armavir stadium. Sardarapat are 5th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while FC Noah sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sardarapat's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with BKMA 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FC Noah's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Dinamo Batumi 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Noah arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Sardarapat and 2.3 for FC Noah. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sardarapat 14%, draw 19%, FC Noah 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Noah to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sardarapat 0–2 FC Noah. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sardarapat14%fair 7.15 · @10.00
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @5.00
FC Noah67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
3.25Expected goals
0.96Sardarapat xG
2.29FC Noah xG
51%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sardarapat 1.0 – 2.3 FC Noah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Noah to win✓
67%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
FC Noah or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
FC Noah ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Noah / FT FC Noah✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.86
–
Form
Sardarapat – last 6
DDLLWD
19 Sep
@ BKMA
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Pyunik Yerevan
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Shirak
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Syunik
3–1
W
27 Aug
vs Syunik
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Noah – last 6
DWWWWW
2 Oct
vs Dinamo Batumi
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Van
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ FC Urartu
3–0
W
4 Sep
vs Gandzasar
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Ararat
4–0
W
23 Aug
@ BKMA
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sardarapat and FC Noah.
Our pick is FC Noah to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sardarapat vs FC Noah?
On our numbers Sardarapat have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Noah 67%.
How many goals will there be in Sardarapat vs FC Noah?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sardarapat vs FC Noah?
Our predicted score is Sardarapat 0–2 FC Noah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sardarapat vs FC Noah?
Sardarapat vs FC Noah (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Armavir stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
