Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArarat-Armenia to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert preview and prediction
The match
Ararat-Armenia host Alashkert in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Football Academy Stadium. Ararat-Armenia are 3rd with 29 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Alashkert sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ararat-Armenia's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Shirak 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alashkert's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Pyunik Yerevan 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Ararat-Armenia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Ararat-Armenia 1–1 Alashkert.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.4 for Alashkert. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ararat-Armenia 1–1 Alashkert. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat-Armenia46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
Alashkert32%fair 3.13 · @3.10
3.06Expected goals
1.69Ararat-Armenia xG
1.37Alashkert xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 1.7 – 1.4 Alashkert expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert?
On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alashkert 32%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert?
Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 1–1 Alashkert, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert?
Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.