Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Ararat to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArarat to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceArarat or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.82
Ararat vs Syunik preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Ararat take on Syunik on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. Ararat are 9th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Syunik sit 10th on 11 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ararat's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Gandzasar 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Syunik's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Ararat-Armenia 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ararat arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Ararat and 0.8 for Syunik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ararat 59%, draw 25%, Syunik 17%.
Safer route: Ararat or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Ararat to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ararat or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ararat 1–0 Syunik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Syunik17%fair 6.06 · @3.50
2.64Expected goals
1.79Ararat xG
0.85Syunik xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ararat 1.8 – 0.8 Syunik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ararat to win✓
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Ararat or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Ararat ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ararat / FT Ararat✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.82
–
Form
Ararat – last 6
WLLLWL
12 Sep
@ Gandzasar
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Ararat-Armenia
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ FC Noah
0–4
L
21 Aug
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ BKMA
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Sardarapat
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Syunik – last 6
LDLDDL
11 Sep
@ Ararat-Armenia
0–3
L
4 Sep
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–0
D
31 Aug
@ Sardarapat
1–3
L
27 Aug
@ Sardarapat
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Van
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ FC Urartu
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat and Syunik.
Our pick is Ararat or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ararat vs Syunik?
On our numbers Ararat have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Syunik 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat vs Syunik?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat vs Syunik?
Our predicted score is Ararat 1–0 Syunik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ararat vs Syunik?
Ararat vs Syunik (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
