Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: Sardarapat to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSardarapat to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Shirak vs Sardarapat preview and prediction
The match
Sardarapat travel to Gyumri City Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 6 September (16:00 WAT) to face Shirak. Shirak are 7th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Sardarapat sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Shirak's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Van 4–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sardarapat's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Syunik 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sardarapat arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Shirak and 1.5 for Sardarapat. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Value angle: Sardarapat to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shirak 1–1 Sardarapat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shirak37%fair 2.72 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Sardarapat39%fair 2.59 · @2.90
3.00Expected goals
1.48Shirak xG
1.52Sardarapat xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Shirak 1.5 – 1.5 Sardarapat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sardarapat to win✗
39%
2.59
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sardarapat / FT Sardarapat✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Form
Shirak – last 6
WLWLDL
29 Aug
@ Van
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs FC Urartu
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Gandzasar
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs FC Noah
3–4
L
1 Aug
@ BKMA
0–0
D
26 May
@ Alashkert
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sardarapat – last 6
WDDWWD
31 Aug
vs Syunik
3–1
W
27 Aug
vs Syunik
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Ararat-Armenia
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Ararat
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Van
4–1
W
19 Jul
vs Ararat
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shirak and Sardarapat.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Shirak vs Sardarapat?
On our numbers Shirak have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sardarapat 39%.
How many goals will there be in Shirak vs Sardarapat?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shirak vs Sardarapat?
Our predicted score is Shirak 1–1 Sardarapat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Shirak vs Sardarapat?
Shirak vs Sardarapat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gyumri City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
