The Premier League sees Ararat take on Ararat-Armenia on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium. Ararat are 9th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Ararat-Armenia sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ararat's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to FC Noah 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ararat-Armenia's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Pyunik Yerevan 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ararat-Armenia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.8 for Ararat and 2.4 for Ararat-Armenia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Ararat-Armenia to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ararat 0–2 Ararat-Armenia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat8%fair 11.92 · @10.00
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.80
Ararat-Armenia72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
3.20Expected goals
0.78Ararat xG
2.42Ararat-Armenia xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Ararat 0.8 – 2.4 Ararat-Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ararat-Armenia to win✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Double chance
Ararat-Armenia or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Ararat-Armenia ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ararat-Armenia / FT Ararat-Armenia✗
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.36
–
Form
Ararat – last 6
LLWLLD
30 Aug
@ FC Noah
0–4
L
21 Aug
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ BKMA
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Sardarapat
1–2
L
3 Aug
@ Alashkert
0–3
L
19 Jul
@ Sardarapat
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
LWDDWL
31 Aug
@ Pyunik Yerevan
1–2
L
27 Aug
vs Universitatea Craiova
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Sardarapat
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Universitatea Craiova
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Van
2–0
W
11 Aug
@ Celje
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat and Ararat-Armenia.
What is the prediction for Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our pick is Ararat-Armenia to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?
On our numbers Ararat have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ararat-Armenia 72%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our predicted score is Ararat 0–2 Ararat-Armenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia?
Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
