Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 53% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Noah to win ✓71% · @1.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
FC Noah vs Ararat preview and prediction
The match
FC Noah host Ararat in the Premier League on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Abovyan City Stadium. FC Noah are 1st with 34 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Ararat sit 9th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Noah's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat BKMA 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ararat's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Pyunik Yerevan 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Noah arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 May 2026, finished FC Noah 8–3 Ararat.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for FC Noah and 0.9 for Ararat. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Noah 71%, draw 14%, Ararat 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.50.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.50 – 53% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: FC Noah 2–1 Ararat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Noah71%fair 1.41 · @1.09
Draw14%fair 7.16 · @7.40
Ararat15%fair 6.54 · @21.00
3.18Expected goals
2.29FC Noah xG
0.90Ararat xG
53%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Noah 2.3 – 0.9 Ararat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win FC Noah vs Ararat?
On our numbers FC Noah have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Ararat 15%.
How many goals will there be in FC Noah vs Ararat?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Noah vs Ararat?
Our predicted score is FC Noah 2–1 Ararat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Noah vs Ararat?
FC Noah vs Ararat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Abovyan City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
