Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FC Urartu to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Urartu to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceFC Urartu or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.57
Shirak vs FC Urartu preview and prediction
The match
Shirak host FC Urartu in the Premier League on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Gyumri City Stadium. Shirak are 7th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while FC Urartu sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Shirak's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Gandzasar 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Urartu's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Syunik 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
FC Urartu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Shirak 0–0 FC Urartu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Shirak and 1.9 for FC Urartu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shirak 16%, draw 25%, FC Urartu 59%.
Safer route: FC Urartu or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: FC Urartu to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Urartu or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shirak 0–1 FC Urartu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shirak16%fair 6.43 · @3.95
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
FC Urartu59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
2.79Expected goals
0.89Shirak xG
1.90FC Urartu xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Shirak 0.9 – 1.9 FC Urartu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FC Urartu or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shirak vs FC Urartu?
On our numbers Shirak have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Urartu 59%.
How many goals will there be in Shirak vs FC Urartu?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shirak vs FC Urartu?
Our predicted score is Shirak 0–1 FC Urartu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shirak vs FC Urartu?
Shirak vs FC Urartu (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gyumri City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
