Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPyunik Yerevan to win ✓66% · @1.30
Double chancePyunik Yerevan or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓11% · fair 8.79
Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan preview and prediction
The match
Pyunik Yerevan travel to Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 21 August (16:00 WAT) to face Ararat. Ararat are 9th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Pyunik Yerevan sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ararat's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat BKMA 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Pyunik Yerevan's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Van 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pyunik Yerevan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Ararat and 2.2 for Pyunik Yerevan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 57% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ararat 0–2 Pyunik Yerevan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat12%fair 8.05 · @9.25
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.50
Pyunik Yerevan66%fair 1.51 · @1.30
3.03Expected goals
0.86Ararat xG
2.17Pyunik Yerevan xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Ararat 0.9 – 2.2 Pyunik Yerevan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pyunik Yerevan to win✓
66%
1.51
1.30
Double chance
Pyunik Yerevan or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Half-time result
Pyunik Yerevan ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pyunik Yerevan / FT Pyunik Yerevan✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
11%
8.79
–
Form
Ararat – last 6
WLLDDL
15 Aug
@ BKMA
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Sardarapat
1–2
L
3 Aug
@ Alashkert
0–3
L
19 Jul
@ Sardarapat
1–1
D
26 May
vs BKMA
1–1
D
19 May
@ FC Noah
3–8
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pyunik Yerevan – last 6
WDDLWW
9 Aug
vs Van
3–0
W
2 Aug
@ FC Urartu
2–2
D
30 Jul
vs Debreceni VSC
0–0
D
23 Jul
@ Debreceni VSC
0–1
L
16 Jul
vs Marsaxlokk
1–0
W
9 Jul
@ Marsaxlokk
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat and Pyunik Yerevan.
What is the prediction for Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan?
On our numbers Ararat have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pyunik Yerevan 66%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our predicted score is Ararat 0–2 Pyunik Yerevan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Ararat vs Pyunik Yerevan (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
