Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPiratas to win ✗58% · @1.67
Double chancePiratas or draw ✗80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.81
Piratas vs Cancún preview and prediction
The match
Piratas host Cancún in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Piratas are 4th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Cancún sit 5th on 25 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Piratas's last 4: LWWD Most recently they lost to CA La Paz 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cancún's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Durango 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Piratas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Piratas and 0.7 for Cancún. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Piratas 58%, draw 22%, Cancún 20%.
Safer route: Piratas or draw (80%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Piratas to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Piratas 1–0 Cancún. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piratas58%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.30
Cancún20%fair 5.12 · @4.80
2.14Expected goals
1.46Piratas xG
0.68Cancún xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Piratas 1.5 – 0.7 Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piratas to win✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
Piratas or draw✗
80%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piratas / FT Piratas✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.81
–
Form
Piratas – last 4
LWWD
15 Aug
@ CA La Paz
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Durango
3–0
W
2 Aug
vs Monarcas
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ CDS Tampico Madero
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Cancún – last 6
WLLLWL
16 Aug
vs Durango
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Monarcas
1–4
L
2 Aug
vs Leones Negros UDG
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–3
L
4 Jul
vs Toluca
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Monterrey
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piratas and Cancún.
Our pick is Piratas to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Piratas vs Cancún?
On our numbers Piratas have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cancún 20%.
How many goals will there be in Piratas vs Cancún?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piratas vs Cancún?
Our predicted score is Piratas 1–0 Cancún, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Piratas vs Cancún?
Piratas vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
