Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Correcaminos Uat or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Correcaminos Uat to win @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorrecaminos Uat to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chanceCorrecaminos Uat or draw ✗88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.94
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat preview and prediction
The match
Correcaminos Uat travel to face Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Liga De Expansión MX on Friday 9 October (02:00 WAT). Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 9th with 22 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Correcaminos Uat sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Alebrijes de Oaxaca's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Piratas 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Correcaminos Uat's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Cruz Azul Hidalgo 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Correcaminos Uat 1–3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 2.2 for Correcaminos Uat. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 61%.
Safer route: Correcaminos Uat or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Correcaminos Uat to win at 1.65 – 65% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Correcaminos Uat or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0–2 Correcaminos Uat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alebrijes de Oaxaca12%fair 8.59 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.90
Correcaminos Uat65%fair 1.55 · @1.65
3.05Expected goals
0.88Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
2.17Correcaminos Uat xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0.9 – 2.2 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our pick is Correcaminos Uat or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat?
On our numbers Alebrijes de Oaxaca have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Correcaminos Uat 65%.
How many goals will there be in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our predicted score is Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0–2 Correcaminos Uat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
