Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCA La Paz to win ✗61% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
CA La Paz vs Venados FC preview and prediction
The match
Venados FC travel to Estadio Guaycura in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 3 October (04:00 WAT) to face CA La Paz. CA La Paz are 1st with 30 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Venados FC sit 6th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
CA La Paz's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Venados FC's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Monarcas 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
CA La Paz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.5 for CA La Paz and 1.4 for Venados FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CA La Paz 61%, draw 19%, Venados FC 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: CA La Paz 2–1 Venados FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CA La Paz61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @4.50
Venados FC21%fair 4.85 · @4.50
3.90Expected goals
2.48CA La Paz xG
1.42Venados FC xG
67%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.5 – 1.4 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA La Paz to win✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
CA La Paz ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
CA La Paz – last 6
WWDWWD
25 Sep
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Correcaminos Uat
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Leones Negros UDG
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Cancún
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Venados FC – last 6
WLWLLW
27 Sep
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Piratas
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Tepatitlán
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ CDS Tampico Madero
3–4
L
29 Aug
@ Tlaxcala
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Dorados
4–2
W
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA La Paz and Venados FC.
What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Venados FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Venados FC?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Venados FC 21%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs Venados FC?
CA La Paz vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
