Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonarcas to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Venados FC vs Monarcas preview and prediction
The match
Monarcas travel to Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 27 September (00:00 WAT) to face Venados FC. Venados FC are 6th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Monarcas sit 3rd on 26 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Venados FC's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Piratas 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Monarcas's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Leones Negros UDG 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Monarcas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Monarcas 2–1 Venados FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Venados FC and 1.8 for Monarcas. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Venados FC 37%, draw 23%, Monarcas 41%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Venados FC 1–2 Monarcas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Venados FC37%fair 2.74 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
Monarcas41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
3.47Expected goals
1.68Venados FC xG
1.79Monarcas xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Venados FC 1.7 – 1.8 Monarcas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Venados FC vs Monarcas?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Venados FC vs Monarcas?
On our numbers Venados FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Monarcas 41%.
How many goals will there be in Venados FC vs Monarcas?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venados FC vs Monarcas?
Our predicted score is Venados FC 1–2 Monarcas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Venados FC vs Monarcas?
Venados FC vs Monarcas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
