Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio GuaycuraCA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat prediction & analysis
CA La Paz to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.6 – 1.1 Correcaminos Uat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
CA La Paz are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 13% for Correcaminos Uat.
CA La Paz have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Correcaminos Uat have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. CA La Paz come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.6 for CA La Paz, 1.1 for Correcaminos Uat). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
Our pick is CA La Paz to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is better than our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CA La Paz to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.53 ▲ |
| Double chance | CA La Paz or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time result | CA La Paz ahead at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.76 | – |
Form
CA La Paz – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Leones Negros UDG | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Mineros de Zacatecas | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Cancún | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Piratas | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Tepatitlán | 5–0 | W |
Correcaminos Uat – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Cancún | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Piratas | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Durango | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Monarcas | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Tapatío | 2–3 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Leones Negros UDG | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA La Paz and Correcaminos Uat.
Liga De Expansión MX table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz | 15 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 15 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 15 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas | 15 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 |  Cancún | 15 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Venados FC | 15 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 |  Durango | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |  Tapatío | 15 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 15 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Dorados | 15 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 15 | -33 | 7 |
More Liga De Expansión MX predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat?
Our pick is CA La Paz to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Correcaminos Uat 13%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat?
CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.