Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Cancún to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorrecaminos Uat to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún preview and prediction
The match
Cancún travel to face Correcaminos Uat in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 12 September (02:00 WAT). Correcaminos Uat are 12th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Cancún sit 5th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Correcaminos Uat's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Piratas 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Cancún's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Cruz Azul Hidalgo 6–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Correcaminos Uat 1–3 Cancún.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.8 for Correcaminos Uat and 1.8 for Cancún. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Cancún to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Cancún. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Correcaminos Uat40%fair 2.50 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Cancún37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
3.62Expected goals
1.85Correcaminos Uat xG
1.77Cancún xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Correcaminos Uat 1.8 – 1.8 Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?
On our numbers Correcaminos Uat have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cancún 37%.
How many goals will there be in Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?
Our predicted score is Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Cancún, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?
Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
