Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio DoradosDorados vs Monarcas prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dorados 1.6 – 1.8 Monarcas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Monarcas shade it despite being away from home – 42% to win, against 35% for Dorados.
Dorados have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Monarcas have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.6 for Dorados, 1.8 for Monarcas). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Dorados have won 0, Monarcas have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.25.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Monarcas to win ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | 2.32 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.38 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Monarcas / FT Monarcas ✓ | 25% | 3.92 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.55 | – |
Form
Dorados – last 6
| 21 Aug | @ Venados FC | 2–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Tlaxcala | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Mineros de Zacatecas | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Jul | @ Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | vs Tapatío | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Apr | @ Tlaxcala | 0–2 | L |
Monarcas – last 6
| 21 Aug | vs Correcaminos Uat | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Cancún | 4–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Piratas | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs CA La Paz | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Jul | vs Cruz Azul | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
| 21 Feb 2026 | Dorados v Monarcas | 0–1 |
Liga De Expansión MX table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CA La Paz | 15 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 15 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 15 | +7 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas | 15 | +12 | 25 |
| 5 |  Cancún | 15 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Venados FC | 15 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 |  Durango | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 |  Tapatío | 15 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 15 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Dorados | 15 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 15 | -33 | 7 |
More Liga De Expansión MX predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dorados vs Monarcas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dorados vs Monarcas?
On our numbers Dorados have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Monarcas 42%.
How many goals will there be in Dorados vs Monarcas?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Dorados vs Monarcas?
Dorados vs Monarcas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Dorados.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.