Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero preview and prediction
The match
CDS Tampico Madero travel to Estadio Jalisco in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 16 August (19:00 WAT) to face Leones Negros UDG. Leones Negros UDG are 2nd with 30 points from 15 games (in the top four), while CDS Tampico Madero sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Leones Negros UDG's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Correcaminos Uat 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
CDS Tampico Madero's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Cruz Azul Hidalgo 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Leones Negros UDG arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Leones Negros UDG and 1.2 for CDS Tampico Madero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Leones Negros UDG 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leones Negros UDG42%fair 2.39 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
CDS Tampico Madero34%fair 2.92 · @3.05
2.57Expected goals
1.37Leones Negros UDG xG
1.20CDS Tampico Madero xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Leones Negros UDG 1.4 – 1.2 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones Negros UDG to win✓
42%
2.39
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leones Negros UDG / FT Leones Negros UDG✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.55
–
Form
Leones Negros UDG – last 6
LWWLWD
7 Aug
vs Correcaminos Uat
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ Cancún
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Tlaxcala
4–2
W
12 Apr
@ Venados FC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Monarcas
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CDS Tampico Madero – last 6
WLDLLL
9 Aug
vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
3–0
W
2 Aug
@ Tapatío
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Piratas
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Club America
0–2
L
24 May
@ Tepatitlán
1–3
L
17 May
@ Tepatitlán
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones Negros UDG and CDS Tampico Madero.
What is the prediction for Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers Leones Negros UDG have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CDS Tampico Madero 34%.
How many goals will there be in Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is Leones Negros UDG 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Leones Negros UDG vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
