The Liga De Expansión MX sees Tepatitlán take on CA La Paz on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Tepatitlán are 16th with 7 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while CA La Paz sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tepatitlán's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Correcaminos Uat 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
CA La Paz's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Durango 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tepatitlán arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished CA La Paz 1–1 Tepatitlán.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Tepatitlán and 1.4 for CA La Paz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tepatitlán 42%, draw 22%, CA La Paz 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tepatitlán 1–1 CA La Paz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tepatitlán42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
CA La Paz35%fair 2.84 · @2.96
2.90Expected goals
1.53Tepatitlán xG
1.37CA La Paz xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 1.5 – 1.4 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CA La Paz 35%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 1–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
