FAW Championship · WalesRuthin Town vs Denbigh Town prediction & analysis
Denbigh Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ruthin Town 1.2 – 2.2 Denbigh Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Denbigh Town travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 22% for Ruthin Town.
Ruthin Town have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Denbigh Town have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Denbigh Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.2 for Ruthin Town, 2.2 for Denbigh Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).
Our pick is Denbigh Town to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Denbigh Town to win ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Half-time result | Denbigh Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Denbigh Town / FT Denbigh Town ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.44 | – |
Form
Ruthin Town – last 6
| 7 Aug | @ Bala Town | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Jul | vs Holyhead Hotspur | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Apr | @ Llandudno | 2–5 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Buckley Town | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | vs Gresford Athletic | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | vs Flint Mountain | 1–2 | L |
Denbigh Town – last 6
| 8 Aug | vs Bangor City 1876 FC | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Buckley Town | 4–2 | W |
| 3 Jul | @ Colwyn Bay | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Apr | vs Penrhyncoch | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs Holyhead Hotspur | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Mar | @ Rhyl | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ruthin Town and Denbigh Town.
FAW Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brickfield Rangers | 14 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Newtown AFC | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 3 |  Porthmadog | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 4 |  Mold Alexandra | 13 | +15 | 25 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Caersws | 13 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Bangor City 1876 FC | 13 | +15 | 22 |
| 8 |  Guilsfield | 14 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 |  Buckley Town | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Holyhead Hotspur | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Llanuwchllyn | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 |  Denbigh Town | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Rhyl | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Ruthin Town | 13 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gresford Athletic | 12 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 |  Penrhyncoch | 13 | -34 | 1 |
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Caerau (Ely)4Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
Our pick is Denbigh Town to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
On our numbers Ruthin Town have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Denbigh Town 61%.
How many goals will there be in Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town?
Ruthin Town vs Denbigh Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.