Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Houtvenne to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHoutvenne to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Houtvenne vs Merelbeke preview and prediction
The match
Houtvenne host Merelbeke in the First Amateur Division on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Houtvenne's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Merelbeke's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Knokke 3–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Houtvenne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Houtvenne and 1.1 for Merelbeke. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Value angle: Houtvenne to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Houtvenne 1–1 Merelbeke. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Houtvenne58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @3.30
Merelbeke25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
3.00Expected goals
1.88Houtvenne xG
1.12Merelbeke xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Houtvenne 1.9 – 1.1 Merelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houtvenne to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Houtvenne ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houtvenne / FT Houtvenne✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Houtvenne – last 6
WWLWLW
17 Oct
@ Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Knokke
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Hoogstraten
0–3
L
30 Sep
vs Mandel United
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Lokeren-Temse
0–5
L
20 Sep
@ Zelzate
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Merelbeke – last 6
WLDDLW
18 Oct
@ Knokke
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Mandel United
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Tienen
0–0
D
30 Sep
vs Dessel Sport
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs AS Eupen
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Harelbeke
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Houtvenne and Merelbeke.
What is the prediction for Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
On our numbers Houtvenne have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Merelbeke 25%.
How many goals will there be in Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
Our predicted score is Houtvenne 1–1 Merelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Houtvenne vs Merelbeke?
Houtvenne vs Merelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dessel Sport2
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II2
RWDM1
Albert Quévy-Mons2
Rochefort4
Olympic Charleroi0
Roeselare Daisel2
Knokke1
Zelzate1
Heist5