Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKnokke to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.28
Knokke vs Merelbeke preview and prediction
The match
Knokke host Merelbeke in the First Amateur Division on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park.
Form guide
Knokke's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Houtvenne 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Merelbeke's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Mandel United 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Knokke and 0.9 for Merelbeke. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Knokke 59%, draw 16%, Merelbeke 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Knokke to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Knokke 1–0 Merelbeke. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Knokke59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @3.50
Merelbeke25%fair 4.03 · @3.00
2.64Expected goals
1.69Knokke xG
0.95Merelbeke xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Knokke 1.7 – 0.9 Merelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Knokke to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Knokke / FT Knokke✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.28
–
Form
Knokke – last 6
LWDLWL
10 Oct
@ Houtvenne
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
3–2
W
30 Sep
@ Zelzate
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Seraing United
2–5
L
20 Sep
vs Spouwen-Mopertingen
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Cercle Brugge II
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Merelbeke – last 6
LDDLWL
11 Oct
vs Mandel United
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Tienen
0–0
D
30 Sep
vs Dessel Sport
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs AS Eupen
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Harelbeke
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Spouwen-Mopertingen
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Knokke and Merelbeke.
Our pick is Knokke to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Knokke vs Merelbeke?
On our numbers Knokke have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Merelbeke 25%.
How many goals will there be in Knokke vs Merelbeke?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Knokke vs Merelbeke?
Our predicted score is Knokke 1–0 Merelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Knokke vs Merelbeke?
Knokke vs Merelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Standard Liège II1
Flénu0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II4
Harelbeke1