Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTienen to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Tienen vs Merelbeke preview and prediction
The match
The First Amateur Division sees Tienen take on Merelbeke on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Tienen's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Cercle Brugge II 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Merelbeke's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Dessel Sport 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Tienen 2–0 Merelbeke.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Tienen and 1.7 for Merelbeke. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tienen 43%, draw 22%, Merelbeke 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tienen 1–1 Merelbeke. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tienen43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.40
Merelbeke35%fair 2.87 · @2.70
3.50Expected goals
1.85Tienen xG
1.65Merelbeke xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Tienen 1.8 – 1.7 Merelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Tienen vs Merelbeke?
On our numbers Tienen have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Merelbeke 35%.
How many goals will there be in Tienen vs Merelbeke?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tienen vs Merelbeke?
Our predicted score is Tienen 1–1 Merelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tienen vs Merelbeke?
Tienen vs Merelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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