Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge II prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Merelbeke or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
1
Value bet: Merelbeke to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerelbeke to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceMerelbeke or draw ✓80% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge II preview and prediction
The match
Cercle Brugge II travel to face Merelbeke in the First Amateur Division on Sunday 6 September (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Merelbeke's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Hoogstraten 3–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Cercle Brugge II's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Zelzate 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Merelbeke and 1.3 for Cercle Brugge II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Merelbeke 55%, draw 25%, Cercle Brugge II 20%.
Safer route: Merelbeke or draw (80%) at 1.33.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Merelbeke to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Merelbeke or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Merelbeke 2–1 Cercle Brugge II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Merelbeke55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
Cercle Brugge II20%fair 4.98 · @3.10
3.50Expected goals
2.19Merelbeke xG
1.31Cercle Brugge II xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Merelbeke 2.2 – 1.3 Cercle Brugge II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merelbeke to win✓
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Merelbeke or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Merelbeke ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merelbeke / FT Merelbeke✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Form
Merelbeke – last 6
WLLLLW
28 Aug
@ Hoogstraten
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs K. Lierse S.K.
0–2
L
27 Jun
vs Gent
1–6
L
26 Apr
@ Ninove
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs Roeselare Daisel
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cercle Brugge II – last 6
DLLWWD
30 Aug
vs Zelzate
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Sporting Hasselt
0–4
L
15 Mar
@ Knokke
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
5–1
W
22 Feb
vs Ninove
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Thes Sport
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merelbeke and Cercle Brugge II.
What is the prediction for Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge II?
Our pick is Merelbeke or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge II?
On our numbers Merelbeke have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cercle Brugge II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge II?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge II?
Our predicted score is Merelbeke 2–1 Cercle Brugge II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge II?
Merelbeke vs Cercle Brugge II (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Onhaye0
RWDM1
Standard Liège II0
Meux1
Spouwen-Mopertingen3
Houtvenne4
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II2
Tienen1
Zelzate0
Roeselare Daisel3