Value bet: Meux to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMeux to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.20
Habay-la-Neuve vs Meux preview and prediction
The match
The First Amateur Division sees Habay-la-Neuve take on Meux on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Habay-la-Neuve are 10th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Meux sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Habay-la-Neuve's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to SK Beveren 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Meux's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Tubize 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Meux arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Habay-la-Neuve and 1.1 for Meux. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Meux to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 Meux. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Habay-la-Neuve37%fair 2.74 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Meux39%fair 2.56 · @2.75
2.24Expected goals
1.09Habay-la-Neuve xG
1.15Meux xG
57%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Habay-la-Neuve 1.1 – 1.1 Meux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Meux to win✗
39%
2.56
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Meux / FT Meux✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.20
–
Form
Habay-la-Neuve – last 6
LDLDDW
16 Oct
@ SK Beveren
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Albert Quévy-Mons
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Tubize
0–1
L
30 Sep
@ Sporting Charleroi II
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Olympic Charleroi
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Flénu
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Meux – last 6
WLDWLW
17 Oct
@ Tubize
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Rochefort
0–3
L
3 Oct
@ Olympic Charleroi
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Onhaye
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs RWDM
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Flénu
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Habay-la-Neuve and Meux.
What is the prediction for Habay-la-Neuve vs Meux?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Habay-la-Neuve vs Meux?
On our numbers Habay-la-Neuve have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Meux 39%.
How many goals will there be in Habay-la-Neuve vs Meux?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Habay-la-Neuve vs Meux?
Our predicted score is Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 Meux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Habay-la-Neuve vs Meux?
Habay-la-Neuve vs Meux (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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