Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Union Saint-Gilloise II to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Saint-Gilloise II to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceUnion Saint-Gilloise II or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Charleroi II travel to face Union Saint-Gilloise II in the First Amateur Division on Saturday 17 October (18:30 WAT). Union Saint-Gilloise II are 3rd with 21 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Sporting Charleroi II sit 9th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Union Saint-Gilloise II's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Flénu 5–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Sporting Charleroi II's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Olympic Charleroi 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Union Saint-Gilloise II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Sporting Charleroi II 0–0 Union Saint-Gilloise II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Union Saint-Gilloise II and 0.8 for Sporting Charleroi II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Saint-Gilloise II 62%, draw 19%, Sporting Charleroi II 19%.
Safer route: Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Union Saint-Gilloise II to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–0 Sporting Charleroi II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Saint-Gilloise II62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.30
Sporting Charleroi II19%fair 5.39 · @3.90
2.63Expected goals
1.80Union Saint-Gilloise II xG
0.83Sporting Charleroi II xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1.8 – 0.8 Sporting Charleroi II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Saint-Gilloise II to win✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Union Saint-Gilloise II ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Saint-Gilloise II / FT Union Saint-Gilloise II✗
What is the prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?
Our pick is Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?
On our numbers Union Saint-Gilloise II have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sporting Charleroi II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?
Our predicted score is Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–0 Sporting Charleroi II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II?
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Sporting Charleroi II (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.