Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Habay-la-Neuve to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Saint-Gilloise II to win ✓39% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve preview and prediction
The match
Union Saint-Gilloise II host Habay-la-Neuve in the First Amateur Division on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT). Union Saint-Gilloise II are 3rd with 21 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Habay-la-Neuve sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Union Saint-Gilloise II's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Meux 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Habay-la-Neuve's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Rochefort 2–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Union Saint-Gilloise II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Union Saint-Gilloise II and 1.7 for Habay-la-Neuve. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Saint-Gilloise II 39%, draw 24%, Habay-la-Neuve 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Habay-la-Neuve to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 Habay-la-Neuve. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Saint-Gilloise II39%fair 2.54 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Habay-la-Neuve37%fair 2.72 · @3.20
3.50Expected goals
1.78Union Saint-Gilloise II xG
1.72Habay-la-Neuve xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1.8 – 1.7 Habay-la-Neuve expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Saint-Gilloise II to win✓
39%
2.54
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Saint-Gilloise II / FT Union Saint-Gilloise II✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.15
–
Form
Union Saint-Gilloise II – last 6
LLWWWW
29 Aug
@ Meux
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Rochefort
0–2
L
10 May
vs Stockay-Warfusée
2–1
W
3 May
@ Crossing Schaerbeek
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Union Namur
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Stockay-Warfusée
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Habay-la-Neuve – last 6
LLLLWW
29 Aug
@ Rochefort
2–4
L
26 Aug
vs RWDM
1–2
L
10 May
@ Excelsior Virton
0–2
L
3 May
vs Albert Quévy-Mons
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Tubize
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Rochefort
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Saint-Gilloise II and Habay-la-Neuve.
What is the prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
On our numbers Union Saint-Gilloise II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Habay-la-Neuve 37%.
How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Our predicted score is Union Saint-Gilloise II 1–1 Habay-la-Neuve, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Habay-la-Neuve (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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