Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Stocksbridge Park Steels or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.44Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 55% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +98%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗55% · @3.60
Double chanceStocksbridge Park Steels or draw ✗79% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets preview and prediction
The match
Stocksbridge Park Steels host Runcorn Linnets in the FA Trophy on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Stocksbridge Park Steels's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Leek Town 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Runcorn Linnets's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Leek Town 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Stocksbridge Park Steels and 1.5 for Runcorn Linnets. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations.
Safer route: Stocksbridge Park Steels or draw (79%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Draw at 3.60 – 55% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stocksbridge Park Steels or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stocksbridge Park Steels 1–1 Runcorn Linnets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stocksbridge Park Steels24%fair 4.19 · @2.30
Draw55%fair 1.82 · @3.60
Runcorn Linnets21%fair 4.72 · @2.55
2.98Expected goals
1.52Stocksbridge Park Steels xG
1.46Runcorn Linnets xG
50%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Stocksbridge Park Steels 1.5 – 1.5 Runcorn Linnets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
55%
1.82
3.60 ▲
Double chance
Stocksbridge Park Steels or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stocksbridge Park Steels / FT Stocksbridge Park Steels✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Stocksbridge Park Steels – last 4
LLLW
6 Apr
vs Leek Town
0–2
L
2 Apr
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Hebburn Town
0–3
L
21 Feb
vs Prescot Cables
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Runcorn Linnets – last 3
DLD
31 Jul
@ Leek Town
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs United of Manchester
0–4
L
6 Apr
vs Bootle
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stocksbridge Park Steels and Runcorn Linnets.
What is the prediction for Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets?
Our pick is Stocksbridge Park Steels or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets?
On our numbers Stocksbridge Park Steels have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Runcorn Linnets 21%.
How many goals will there be in Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets?
Our predicted score is Stocksbridge Park Steels 1–1 Runcorn Linnets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets?
Stocksbridge Park Steels vs Runcorn Linnets (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Basford United0
Bedworth United0
Cambridge City1
Redbridge1
Grimsby Borough0
Dunston UTS1
Hanley Town2
Coleshill Town0
Hashtag United3
Royston Town1
Liversedge0
Bootle5
Bognor Regis Town3
South Park0