Value bet: Draw @ 4.00 – our chance 53% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +113%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗53% · @4.00
Double chanceMargate or draw ✗77% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Ascot United vs Margate preview and prediction
The match
The FA Trophy sees Ascot United take on Margate on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Ascot United and 1.8 for Margate. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ascot United 23%, draw 53%, Margate 24%.
Safer route: Margate or draw (77%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Draw at 4.00 – 53% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Margate or draw – a 77% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ascot United 1–1 Margate. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ascot United23%fair 4.43 · @2.40
Draw53%fair 1.88 · @4.00
Margate24%fair 4.15 · @2.25
3.55Expected goals
1.76Ascot United xG
1.79Margate xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Ascot United 1.8 – 1.8 Margate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.88
4.00 ▲
Double chance
Margate or draw✗
77%
1.29
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Margate / FT Margate✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Form
Ascot United – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Westfield (Surrey)
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Margate – last 2
WL
18 Jul
@ Chatham Town
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Dover
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ascot United and Margate.
What is the prediction for Ascot United vs Margate?
Our pick is Margate or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Ascot United vs Margate?
On our numbers Ascot United have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Margate 24%.
How many goals will there be in Ascot United vs Margate?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascot United vs Margate?
Our predicted score is Ascot United 1–1 Margate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Ascot United vs Margate?
Ascot United vs Margate (FA Trophy) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
