Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKozakken Boys to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Hoek vs Kozakken Boys preview and prediction
The match
Hoek host Kozakken Boys in the Tweede Divisie on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Sportpark Denoek. Hoek are 16th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Kozakken Boys sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hoek's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to AFC Amsterdam 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Kozakken Boys's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Spakenburg 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Kozakken Boys arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Hoek and 1.8 for Kozakken Boys. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hoek 35%, draw 23%, Kozakken Boys 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Hoek 1–1 Kozakken Boys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hoek35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.30
Kozakken Boys42%fair 2.37 · @2.25
3.50Expected goals
1.66Hoek xG
1.84Kozakken Boys xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Hoek 1.7 – 1.8 Kozakken Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kozakken Boys to win✗
42%
2.37
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kozakken Boys / FT Kozakken Boys✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Form
Hoek – last 6
LWLDDL
10 Oct
@ AFC Amsterdam
0–2
L
3 Oct
vs De Treffers
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Sparta Rotterdam II
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Almere City II
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Barendrecht
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ RKAV Volendam
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kozakken Boys – last 6
WWDWWW
10 Oct
vs Spakenburg
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Katwijk
5–1
W
26 Sep
vs Koninklijke HFC
1–1
D
23 Sep
@ Groesbeek
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ HHC
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Rijnsburgse Boys
6–1
W
3.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hoek and Kozakken Boys.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Hoek vs Kozakken Boys?
On our numbers Hoek have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kozakken Boys 42%.
How many goals will there be in Hoek vs Kozakken Boys?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hoek vs Kozakken Boys?
Our predicted score is Hoek 1–1 Kozakken Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Hoek vs Kozakken Boys?
Hoek vs Kozakken Boys (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Denoek.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
