Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHoek to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.09
AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek preview and prediction
The match
AFC Amsterdam host Hoek in the Tweede Divisie on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 14:15 (WAT) at Sportpark Goed Genoeg. AFC Amsterdam are 11th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Hoek sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
AFC Amsterdam's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Spakenburg 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Hoek's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat De Treffers 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for AFC Amsterdam and 1.7 for Hoek. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Amsterdam 35%, draw 19%, Hoek 46%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: AFC Amsterdam 1–2 Hoek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Amsterdam35%fair 2.86 · @2.70
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.70
Hoek46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
3.09Expected goals
1.42AFC Amsterdam xG
1.67Hoek xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: AFC Amsterdam 1.4 – 1.7 Hoek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hoek to win✗
46%
2.18
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hoek / FT Hoek✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.09
–
Form
AFC Amsterdam – last 6
LLWWDL
3 Oct
@ Spakenburg
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Katwijk
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Groene Ster
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Koninklijke HFC
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs HHC
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Rijnsburgse Boys
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hoek – last 6
WLDDLL
3 Oct
vs De Treffers
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Sparta Rotterdam II
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Almere City II
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Barendrecht
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ RKAV Volendam
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Spakenburg
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Amsterdam and Hoek.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek?
On our numbers AFC Amsterdam have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hoek 46%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek?
Our predicted score is AFC Amsterdam 1–2 Hoek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek?
AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Goed Genoeg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
