Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpakenburg to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.05
Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam preview and prediction
The match
AFC Amsterdam travel to Sportpark De Westmaat in the Tweede Divisie on Saturday 3 October (14:00 WAT) to face Spakenburg. Spakenburg are 9th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while AFC Amsterdam sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Spakenburg's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to De Treffers 0–5 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
AFC Amsterdam's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Katwijk 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Spakenburg and 1.0 for AFC Amsterdam. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spakenburg 62%, draw 19%, AFC Amsterdam 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spakenburg to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Spakenburg 2–1 AFC Amsterdam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spakenburg62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.00
AFC Amsterdam20%fair 5.12 · @4.00
3.07Expected goals
2.04Spakenburg xG
1.03AFC Amsterdam xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Spakenburg 2.0 – 1.0 AFC Amsterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spakenburg to win✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Spakenburg ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spakenburg / FT Spakenburg✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.05
–
Form
Spakenburg – last 6
LDDWLW
26 Sep
@ De Treffers
0–5
L
22 Sep
@ RKAV Volendam
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Sparta Rotterdam II
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Almere City II
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Barendrecht
1–3
L
29 Aug
@ Hoek
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Amsterdam – last 6
LWWDLW
26 Sep
vs Katwijk
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Groene Ster
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Koninklijke HFC
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs HHC
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Rijnsburgse Boys
0–3
L
1 Sep
@ Be Quick 1887
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spakenburg and AFC Amsterdam.
What is the prediction for Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?
Our pick is Spakenburg to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?
On our numbers Spakenburg have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and AFC Amsterdam 20%.
How many goals will there be in Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?
Our predicted score is Spakenburg 2–1 AFC Amsterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?
Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Westmaat.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
