Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHoek to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Barendrecht vs Hoek preview and prediction
The match
Hoek travel to Sports Centre de Bongerd in the Tweede Divisie on Saturday 12 September (14:00 WAT) to face Barendrecht. Barendrecht are 8th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Hoek sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Barendrecht's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Spakenburg 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Hoek's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to RKAV Volendam 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Barendrecht arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Barendrecht and 2.0 for Hoek. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barendrecht 23%, draw 14%, Hoek 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hoek to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barendrecht 1–2 Hoek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barendrecht23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Draw14%fair 6.99 · @3.90
Hoek63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
3.11Expected goals
1.07Barendrecht xG
2.04Hoek xG
50%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Barendrecht 1.1 – 2.0 Hoek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hoek to win✗
63%
1.58
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Hoek ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hoek / FT Hoek✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Barendrecht – last 6
WLWLLW
5 Sep
@ Spakenburg
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Katwijk
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Koninklijke HFC
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs HHC
1–3
L
23 May
vs Excelsior Maassluis
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs AFC Amsterdam
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hoek – last 6
LLDWLD
5 Sep
@ RKAV Volendam
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Spakenburg
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Katwijk
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Koninklijke HFC
3–1
W
15 Jul
vs NAC Breda
1–2
L
23 May
@ De Treffers
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barendrecht and Hoek.
Our pick is Hoek to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Barendrecht vs Hoek?
On our numbers Barendrecht have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Hoek 63%.
How many goals will there be in Barendrecht vs Hoek?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barendrecht vs Hoek?
Our predicted score is Barendrecht 1–2 Hoek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Barendrecht vs Hoek?
Barendrecht vs Hoek (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Centre de Bongerd.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
