Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Pustá Polom to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPustá Polom to win ✗40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Pustá Polom vs Šumperk preview and prediction
The match
Šumperk travel to face Pustá Polom in the 4. Liga Divizie F on Sunday 11 October (13:30 WAT). Pustá Polom are 10th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Šumperk sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Pustá Polom's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Kravare 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Šumperk's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Bílovec 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Pustá Polom 0–0 Šumperk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Pustá Polom and 1.6 for Šumperk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Pustá Polom to win at 2.88 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Pustá Polom 2–1 Šumperk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pustá Polom40%fair 2.50 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.80
Šumperk39%fair 2.56 · @2.00
3.22Expected goals
1.62Pustá Polom xG
1.60Šumperk xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Pustá Polom 1.6 – 1.6 Šumperk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?
On our numbers Pustá Polom have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Šumperk 39%.
How many goals will there be in Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?
Our predicted score is Pustá Polom 2–1 Šumperk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Pustá Polom vs Šumperk?
Pustá Polom vs Šumperk (4. Liga Divizie F) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
