Value bet: Hluk to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHluk to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Hluk vs Holešov preview and prediction
The match
Holešov travel to face Hluk in the 4. Liga Divizie E on Friday 18 September (15:00 WAT). Hluk are 11th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Holešov sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hluk's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Brumov 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Holešov's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Břeclav 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Hluk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.2 for Hluk and 1.5 for Holešov. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hluk 57%, draw 15%, Holešov 28%.
Value angle: Hluk to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Hluk 2–1 Holešov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hluk57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.67 · @4.20
Holešov28%fair 3.60 · @2.80
3.71Expected goals
2.23Hluk xG
1.48Holešov xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Hluk 2.2 – 1.5 Holešov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hluk to win✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Hluk ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hluk / FT Hluk✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Form
Hluk – last 6
WWDWDL
12 Sep
@ Brumov
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Baťov
6–0
W
29 Aug
@ Prostejov B
3–3
D
21 Aug
vs Kroměříž II
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Šternberk
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Strání
1–3
L
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Holešov – last 6
LLDWDW
12 Sep
vs Břeclav
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ SK Krumvir
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Brumov
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs Baťov
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Prostejov B
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Kroměříž II
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hluk and Holešov.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Hluk vs Holešov?
On our numbers Hluk have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Holešov 28%.
How many goals will there be in Hluk vs Holešov?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hluk vs Holešov?
Our predicted score is Hluk 2–1 Holešov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Hluk vs Holešov?
Hluk vs Holešov (4. Liga Divizie E) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
