Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Cumnock Juniors to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCumnock Juniors to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC preview and prediction
The match
Cumnock Juniors host Troon FC in the Football League Lowland League on Wednesday 23 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Cumnock Juniors are 15th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Troon FC sit 17th on 21 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cumnock Juniors's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Beith 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Troon FC's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Johnstone Burgh 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Cumnock Juniors and 1.4 for Troon FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cumnock Juniors 58%, draw 19%, Troon FC 23%.
Value angle: Cumnock Juniors to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Cumnock Juniors 2–1 Troon FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cumnock Juniors58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.90
Troon FC23%fair 4.35 · @2.88
3.66Expected goals
2.28Cumnock Juniors xG
1.39Troon FC xG
54%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Cumnock Juniors 2.3 – 1.4 Troon FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cumnock Juniors to win✓
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Cumnock Juniors ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cumnock Juniors / FT Cumnock Juniors✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Form
Cumnock Juniors – last 6
WWWLDL
16 Sep
vs Beith
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Dalbeattie Star
6–1
W
29 Aug
vs Newton Stewart
5–0
W
21 Aug
@ Celtic II
1–4
L
18 Aug
vs Largs Thistle
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Caledonian Braves
3–6
L
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Troon FC – last 6
LWLWWL
16 Sep
vs Johnstone Burgh
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Newton Stewart
5–1
W
29 Aug
vs Cumbernauld Colts
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Beith
3–1
W
19 Aug
vs Renfrew
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Clydebank
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cumnock Juniors and Troon FC.
What is the prediction for Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
On our numbers Cumnock Juniors have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Troon FC 23%.
How many goals will there be in Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
Our predicted score is Cumnock Juniors 2–1 Troon FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC?
Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC (Football League Lowland League) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
