3. Liga MSFL · Czech-Republic · Stadion StovkyFrýdek-Místek vs Slovácko II prediction & analysis
Frýdek-Místek or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Frýdek-Místek to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Frýdek-Místek 2.0 – 0.8 Slovácko II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Frýdek-Místek are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 13% for Slovácko II.
Frýdek-Místek have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Slovácko II have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Frýdek-Místek, 0.8 for Slovácko II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Frýdek-Místek have won 0, Slovácko II have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Frýdek-Místek or draw at a 87% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Frýdek-Místek to win at 1.95 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Frýdek-Místek to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Frýdek-Místek or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Half-time result | Frýdek-Místek ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Frýdek-Místek / FT Frýdek-Místek ✓ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.23 | – |
Form
Frýdek-Místek – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Hodonín | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Vrchovina | 4–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Polanka nad Odrou | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Havířov | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Uherský Brod | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Uničov | 1–1 | D |
Slovácko II – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Unie Hlubina | 5–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Vsetín | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Zbrojovka Brno II | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Hranice | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Karviná II | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Vítkovice | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 6 Jun 2026 | Slovácko II v Frýdek-Místek | 2–2 |
3. Liga MSFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Frýdek-Místek | 16 | +15 | 33 |
| 2 |  Uničov | 16 | +12 | 33 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc II | 16 | +17 | 31 |
| 4 |  Líšeň II | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Zbrojovka Brno II | 16 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Hodonín | 16 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Unie Hlubina | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 |  Karviná II | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Vítkovice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Hranice | 16 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Slovácko II | 16 | +6 | 22 |
| 12 |  Uherský Brod | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Zlín II | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 |  Blansko | 16 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 |  Vrchovina | 16 | -17 | 17 |
| 16 |  Havířov | 16 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 |  Polanka nad Odrou | 16 | -15 | 12 |
| 18 |  Vsetín | 16 | -24 | 10 |
More 3. Liga MSFL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Frýdek-Místek vs Slovácko II?
Our pick is Frýdek-Místek or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Frýdek-Místek vs Slovácko II?
On our numbers Frýdek-Místek have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Slovácko II 13%.
How many goals will there be in Frýdek-Místek vs Slovácko II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Frýdek-Místek vs Slovácko II?
Frýdek-Místek vs Slovácko II (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Stovky.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.