3. Liga MSFL · Czech-Republic · Orelsky stadionUherský Brod vs Vrchovina prediction & analysis
Uherský Brod or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
Value bet: Uherský Brod to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Uherský Brod 2.1 – 1.1 Vrchovina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Uherský Brod hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 17% for Vrchovina.
Uherský Brod have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.5 per game. Vrchovina have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.1 for Uherský Brod, 1.1 for Vrchovina). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%).
Our pick is Uherský Brod or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is better than our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Uherský Brod to win at 1.95 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Uherský Brod to win ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Uherský Brod or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.29 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Half-time result | Uherský Brod ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Uherský Brod / FT Uherský Brod ✓ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.12 | – |
Form
Uherský Brod – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Polanka nad Odrou | 0–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Havířov | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Sigma Olomouc II | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Uničov | 3–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Frýdek-Místek | 1–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Unie Hlubina | 1–1 | D |
Vrchovina – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Uničov | 0–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Frýdek-Místek | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Unie Hlubina | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Vsetín | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Zbrojovka Brno II | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Hranice | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uherský Brod and Vrchovina.
3. Liga MSFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Frýdek-Místek | 16 | +15 | 33 |
| 2 |  Uničov | 16 | +12 | 33 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc II | 16 | +17 | 31 |
| 4 |  Líšeň II | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Zbrojovka Brno II | 16 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Hodonín | 16 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Unie Hlubina | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 8 |  Karviná II | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Vítkovice | 16 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Hranice | 16 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Slovácko II | 16 | +6 | 22 |
| 12 |  Uherský Brod | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 |  Zlín II | 16 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 |  Blansko | 16 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 |  Vrchovina | 16 | -17 | 17 |
| 16 |  Havířov | 16 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 |  Polanka nad Odrou | 16 | -15 | 12 |
| 18 |  Vsetín | 16 | -24 | 10 |
More 3. Liga MSFL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Uherský Brod vs Vrchovina?
Our pick is Uherský Brod or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Uherský Brod vs Vrchovina?
On our numbers Uherský Brod have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vrchovina 17%.
How many goals will there be in Uherský Brod vs Vrchovina?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Uherský Brod vs Vrchovina?
Uherský Brod vs Vrchovina (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Orelsky stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.