Value bet: Karviná II to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarviná II to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 28.96
Havířov vs Karviná II preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga MSFL sees Havířov take on Karviná II on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 09:15 (WAT) at Mestsky fotbalovy areal Havirov. Havířov are 16th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Karviná II sit 8th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Havířov's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Belotin 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Karviná II's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Uherský Brod 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Karviná II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Havířov and 1.5 for Karviná II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Havířov 35%, draw 20%, Karviná II 45%.
Value angle: Karviná II to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Havířov 1–2 Karviná II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Havířov35%fair 2.85 · @2.33
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.45
Karviná II45%fair 2.24 · @2.50
2.76Expected goals
1.27Havířov xG
1.48Karviná II xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Havířov 1.3 – 1.5 Karviná II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná II to win✗
45%
2.24
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná II / FT Karviná II✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
3%
28.96
–
Form
Havířov – last 6
WDLDLL
12 Aug
@ Belotin
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Vítkovice
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Zlín II
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Vratimov
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Sparta Katowice
2–4
L
12 Jun
@ Stonava
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karviná II – last 6
WLLLWW
9 Aug
vs Uherský Brod
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Uničov
2–3
L
25 Jul
@ Tatran Krásno
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Žilina II
0–3
L
13 Jun
@ Vsetín
2–1
W
6 Jun
vs Zbrojovka Brno II
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Havířov and Karviná II.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Havířov vs Karviná II?
On our numbers Havířov have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karviná II 45%.
How many goals will there be in Havířov vs Karviná II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Havířov vs Karviná II?
Our predicted score is Havířov 1–2 Karviná II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Havířov vs Karviná II?
Havířov vs Karviná II (3. Liga MSFL) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 09:15 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky fotbalovy areal Havirov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
