Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHolbæk B&I to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.52
Næsby vs Holbæk B&I preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division sees Næsby take on Holbæk B&I on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at ALPI Arena Naesby. Næsby are 6th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Holbæk B&I sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Næsby's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Vanløse 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Holbæk B&I's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Holstebro 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Holbæk B&I 3–2 Næsby. Across their last 2 meetings Næsby have won 1, Holbæk B&I 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.8 for Næsby and 1.9 for Holbæk B&I. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Næsby 38%, draw 22%, Holbæk B&I 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Næsby 1–1 Holbæk B&I. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Næsby38%fair 2.64 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Holbæk B&I40%fair 2.50 · @2.15
3.67Expected goals
1.81Næsby xG
1.86Holbæk B&I xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: Næsby 1.8 – 1.9 Holbæk B&I expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?
On our numbers Næsby have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Holbæk B&I 40%.
How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?
Our predicted score is Næsby 1–1 Holbæk B&I, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Næsby vs Holbæk B&I?
Næsby vs Holbæk B&I (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
