Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNæsby to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceNæsby or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
ASA Aarhus vs Næsby preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division sees ASA Aarhus take on Næsby on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). ASA Aarhus are 10th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Næsby sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
ASA Aarhus's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Sundby 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Næsby's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Hørsholm-Usserød 4–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.2 for ASA Aarhus and 2.1 for Næsby. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ASA Aarhus 21%, draw 21%, Næsby 58%.
Safer route: Næsby or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Næsby or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: ASA Aarhus 1–2 Næsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ASA Aarhus21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Næsby58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
3.25Expected goals
1.17ASA Aarhus xG
2.08Næsby xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: ASA Aarhus 1.2 – 2.1 Næsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Næsby to win✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Double chance
Næsby or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Næsby ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Næsby / FT Næsby✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
ASA Aarhus – last 6
LWLLWW
5 Sep
@ Sundby
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Holstebro
4–0
W
22 Aug
@ Frem
1–3
L
19 Aug
vs Randers FC
0–4
L
15 Aug
vs Vanløse
2–1
W
11 Aug
@ Ishøj
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Næsby – last 6
WLWWDL
5 Sep
vs Hørsholm-Usserød
4–3
W
29 Aug
@ Holbæk B&I
2–3
L
25 Aug
@ Munkebo
5–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ishøj
5–1
W
15 Aug
vs Brønshøj
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Vanløse
0–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASA Aarhus and Næsby.
Our pick is Næsby or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ASA Aarhus vs Næsby?
On our numbers ASA Aarhus have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Næsby 58%.
How many goals will there be in ASA Aarhus vs Næsby?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA Aarhus vs Næsby?
Our predicted score is ASA Aarhus 1–2 Næsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is ASA Aarhus vs Næsby?
ASA Aarhus vs Næsby (3. Division) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
