Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNæsby to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceNæsby or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød preview and prediction
The match
Næsby host Hørsholm-Usserød in the 3. Division on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at ALPI Arena Naesby. Næsby are 6th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Hørsholm-Usserød sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Næsby's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Holbæk B&I 2–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hørsholm-Usserød's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Brønshøj 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Hørsholm-Usserød 2–4 Næsby. Across their last 3 meetings Næsby have won 3, Hørsholm-Usserød 0, with 0 draws and 5.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Næsby and 1.1 for Hørsholm-Usserød. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Næsby to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Næsby63%fair 1.58 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.90
Hørsholm-Usserød17%fair 5.89 · @4.10
3.41Expected goals
2.29Næsby xG
1.12Hørsholm-Usserød xG
54%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Næsby 2.3 – 1.1 Hørsholm-Usserød expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Our pick is Næsby to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
On our numbers Næsby have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hørsholm-Usserød 17%.
How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Our predicted score is Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
