Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHolbæk B&I to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Holbæk B&I vs Næsby preview and prediction
The match
Holbæk B&I host Næsby in the 3. Division on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Holbæk B&I are 2nd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Næsby sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Holbæk B&I's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Brønshøj 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Næsby's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Munkebo 5–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Holbæk B&I 1–2 Næsby.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Holbæk B&I and 1.2 for Næsby. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Holbæk B&I 63%, draw 15%, Næsby 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Holbæk B&I to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Holbæk B&I 2–1 Næsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holbæk B&I63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
Draw15%fair 6.70 · @3.60
Næsby22%fair 4.62 · @3.20
3.38Expected goals
2.21Holbæk B&I xG
1.17Næsby xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Holbæk B&I 2.2 – 1.2 Næsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Holbæk B&I to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
On our numbers Holbæk B&I have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Næsby 22%.
How many goals will there be in Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
Our predicted score is Holbæk B&I 2–1 Næsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
Holbæk B&I vs Næsby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
