Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Næsby to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNæsby to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceNæsby or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗25% · fair 4.00
Ishøj vs Næsby preview and prediction
The match
Ishøj host Næsby in the 3. Division on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Ishøj are 8th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Næsby sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ishøj's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Hørsholm-Usserød 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Næsby's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Brønshøj 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Næsby arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.4 for Ishøj and 1.1 for Næsby. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ishøj 17%, draw 24%, Næsby 59%.
Safer route: Næsby or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Næsby to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Næsby or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ishøj 0–1 Næsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ishøj17%fair 5.88 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Næsby59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
1.50Expected goals
0.38Ishøj xG
1.12Næsby xG
50%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–125%
0–022%
0–214%
1–110%
1–08%
1–25%
From our goals model: Ishøj 0.4 – 1.1 Næsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Næsby to win✓
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Næsby or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Næsby / FT Næsby✓
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
25%
4.00
–
Form
Ishøj – last 6
LLLDDL
15 Aug
@ Hørsholm-Usserød
0–2
L
11 Aug
vs ASA Aarhus
0–1
L
4 Aug
@ Sydkysten
1–3
L
31 Jul
@ Brønshøj
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Skive
1–1
D
30 May
vs VSK Århus
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Næsby – last 6
DLWWLW
15 Aug
vs Brønshøj
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Vanløse
0–3
L
4 Aug
@ Kolding B
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Sundby
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Middelfart
0–1
L
13 Jun
@ Hørsholm-Usserød
4–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ishøj and Næsby.
Our pick is Næsby or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ishøj vs Næsby?
On our numbers Ishøj have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Næsby 59%.
How many goals will there be in Ishøj vs Næsby?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ishøj vs Næsby?
Our predicted score is Ishøj 0–1 Næsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Ishøj vs Næsby?
Ishøj vs Næsby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
