Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Næsby to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNæsby to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceNæsby or draw ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Vanløse vs Næsby preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division sees Vanløse take on Næsby on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Vanlose Idraetspark. Vanløse are 3rd with 27 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Næsby sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Vanløse's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Køge Nord 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Næsby's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Kolding B 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Næsby arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Vanløse 0–2 Næsby. Across their last 2 meetings Vanløse have won 1, Næsby 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.1 for Vanløse and 2.4 for Næsby. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vanløse 14%, draw 21%, Næsby 64%.
Safer route: Næsby or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Næsby to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Næsby or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vanløse 1–2 Næsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vanløse14%fair 6.90 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.25
Næsby64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
3.50Expected goals
1.11Vanløse xG
2.39Næsby xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Vanløse 1.1 – 2.4 Næsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Næsby or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vanløse vs Næsby?
On our numbers Vanløse have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Næsby 64%.
How many goals will there be in Vanløse vs Næsby?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vanløse vs Næsby?
Our predicted score is Vanløse 1–2 Næsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Vanløse vs Næsby?
Vanløse vs Næsby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Vanlose Idraetspark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
