Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNæsby to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceNæsby or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.21
Næsby vs Sundby preview and prediction
The match
Næsby host Sundby in the 3. Division on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at ALPI Arena Naesby. Næsby are 6th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Sundby sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Næsby's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Middelfart 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sundby's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Fremad Amager 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Næsby arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Næsby and 1.1 for Sundby. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Næsby 62%, draw 20%, Sundby 18%.
Safer route: Næsby or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Næsby to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Næsby 2–1 Sundby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Næsby62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.10
Sundby18%fair 5.60 · @4.00
3.32Expected goals
2.21Næsby xG
1.11Sundby xG
50%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Næsby 2.2 – 1.1 Sundby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Næsby to win✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
Næsby or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Næsby ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Næsby / FT Næsby✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.21
–
Form
Næsby – last 6
LWWLWW
25 Jul
vs Middelfart
0–1
L
13 Jun
@ Hørsholm-Usserød
4–2
W
6 Jun
vs FA 2000
1–0
W
31 May
@ Nykobing FC
2–3
L
25 May
@ Vanløse
2–0
W
9 May
vs Hørsholm-Usserød
5–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sundby – last 6
LLDLDD
21 Jul
@ Fremad Amager
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs Nykobing FC
1–3
L
13 Jun
@ Frem
0–0
D
4 Jun
vs Holbæk B&I
1–5
L
30 May
vs Odder
3–3
D
23 May
@ Lyseng
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Næsby and Sundby.
Our pick is Næsby to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Næsby vs Sundby?
On our numbers Næsby have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sundby 18%.
How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Sundby?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Sundby?
Our predicted score is Næsby 2–1 Sundby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Næsby vs Sundby?
Næsby vs Sundby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
