Value bet: Volga Ulyanovsk to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVeles to win ✗39% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.66
Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk preview and prediction
The match
Veles host Volga Ulyanovsk in the First League on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo). Veles are 5th with 31 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Volga Ulyanovsk sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Veles's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Torpedo Moskva 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Leningradets 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Veles and 1.2 for Volga Ulyanovsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Veles 39%, draw 24%, Volga Ulyanovsk 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Volga Ulyanovsk to win at 2.88 – 37% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Veles 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Veles39%fair 2.58 · @2.33
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.24
Volga Ulyanovsk37%fair 2.69 · @2.88
2.51Expected goals
1.27Veles xG
1.24Volga Ulyanovsk xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Veles 1.3 – 1.2 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Veles to win✗
39%
2.58
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Veles / FT Veles✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.66
–
Form
Veles – last 6
DLLDWW
17 Sep
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
9 Sep
@ Murom
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ FC UFA
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Tekstilshchik
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
LLDDWD
26 Sep
vs Leningradets
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs Spartak Kostroma
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ FC UFA
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Volgar Astrakhan
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Arsenal Tula
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Veles and Volga Ulyanovsk.
What is the prediction for Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
On our numbers Veles have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Volga Ulyanovsk 37%.
How many goals will there be in Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our predicted score is Veles 1–1 Volga Ulyanovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Veles vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
