First League · Russia · Trud StadiumVolga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva prediction & analysis
Torpedo Moskva or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.23
Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 1.94 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 0.8 – 1.7 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torpedo Moskva travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 18% for Volga Ulyanovsk.
Volga Ulyanovsk have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Torpedo Moskva have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.8 for Volga Ulyanovsk, 1.7 for Torpedo Moskva). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Volga Ulyanovsk have won 0, Torpedo Moskva have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Torpedo Moskva or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, Torpedo Moskva to win at 1.94 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torpedo Moskva to win | 60% | 1.66 | 1.94 ▲ |
| Double chance | Torpedo Moskva or draw | 82% | 1.21 | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 51% | 1.98 | 1.87 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Torpedo Moskva ahead at half-time | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 14% | 7.31 | – |
Form
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
| 8 Nov | @ Ural | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Nov | vs Chertanovo Moscow | 5–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Tekstilshchik | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Veles | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Ska-khabarovsk | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Murom | 0–0 | D |
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs FK Neftekhimik | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Nov | @ KAMAZ | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | vs Rotor Volgograd | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Enisey | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Leningradets | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Torpedo Zhodino | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 19 Jul 2026 | Torpedo Moskva v Volga Ulyanovsk | 3–1 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Torpedo Moskva v Volga Ulyanovsk | 1–0 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | +37 | 46 |
| 2 |  Ural | 17 | +18 | 34 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 17 | +16 | 32 |
| 4 |  FC Sochi | 17 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 |  Veles | 18 | +2 | 31 |
| 6 |  Spartak Kostroma | 17 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |  Shinnik Yaroslavl | 17 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 17 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Volga Ulyanovsk | 18 | -3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 17 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |  Chelyabinsk | 17 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |  Arsenal Tula | 17 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 |  Leningradets | 17 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Enisey | 17 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Ska-khabarovsk | 17 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 17 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 |  FK Neftekhimik | 17 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 |  Tekstilshchik | 17 | -17 | 11 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Torpedo Moskva or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torpedo Moskva 60%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.