First League · Russia · Arena Khimki

Torpedo Moskva

DDWWW
1–0
FT

FK Neftekhimik

LDLLL

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓65% · @1.37
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.56
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.65

Win chances

Torpedo Moskva65%fair 1.54 · @1.37
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.79
FK Neftekhimik13%fair 7.51 · @9.00
2.49Expected goals
1.82Torpedo Moskva xG
0.68FK Neftekhimik xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.8 – 0.7 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Torpedo Moskva are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 13% for FK Neftekhimik.

Torpedo Moskva have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. FK Neftekhimik have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded. Torpedo Moskva come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Torpedo Moskva, 0.7 for FK Neftekhimik). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Torpedo Moskva have won 1, FK Neftekhimik have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.35.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓65%1.541.37
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.56
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.30
Half-time resultTorpedo Moskva ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✗41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.65–

Form

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

DDWWWD
1 Nov@ KAMAZ1–1D
23 Octvs Rotor Volgograd1–1D
17 Oct@ Enisey2–1W
10 Oct@ Leningradets3–1W
3 Oct@ Torpedo Zhodino2–1W
27 Sep@ FC UFA0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FK Neftekhimik – last 6

LDLLLL
31 Octvs Ska-khabarovsk0–2L
25 Octvs Leningradets1–1D
17 Oct@ KAMAZ1–2L
9 Octvs Chelyabinsk2–4L
18 Sepvs Ural0–1L
14 Sep@ Spartak Kostroma0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Mar 2026Torpedo Moskva v FK Neftekhimik3–0

More First League predictions

FT Arsenal Tula1 Chelyabinsk2 412435 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.29 ✓ FT Shinnik Yaroslavl2 FC UFA1 442432 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?

On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FK Neftekhimik 13%.

How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.