First League · Russia · Stadion Shinnik

Shinnik Yaroslavl

LWDLW
2–1
FT

FC UFA

DLWLD

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 2.47 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓44% · @2.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.29

Win chances

Shinnik Yaroslavl44%fair 2.25 · @2.47
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.02
FC UFA32%fair 3.15 · @3.21
2.18Expected goals
1.22Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
0.97FC UFA xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.2 – 1.0 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Shinnik Yaroslavl hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 32% for FC UFA.

Shinnik Yaroslavl have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. FC UFA have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Shinnik Yaroslavl, 1.0 for FC UFA). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 1, FC UFA have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.58. For a bigger price, Shinnik Yaroslavl to win at 2.47 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓44%2.252.47 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.38 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.942.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.581.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.591.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.15
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl ✗24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.29–

Form

Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6

LWDLWD
31 Oct@ Chelyabinsk0–2L
26 Octvs Spartak Kostroma2–1W
18 Oct@ Veles1–1D
14 Oct@ Nizhny Novgorod0–4L
10 Octvs Tekstilshchik2–0W
27 Sepvs Ska-khabarovsk0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC UFA – last 6

DLWLDL
1 Nov@ Rotor Volgograd0–0D
24 Octvs Nizhny Novgorod0–1L
17 Octvs Arsenal Tula2–0W
11 Oct@ FC Sochi0–1L
27 Sepvs Torpedo Moskva0–0D
18 Sep@ Chelyabinsk1–2L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Mar 2026Shinnik Yaroslavl v FC UFA1–0

More First League predictions

FT Arsenal Tula1 Chelyabinsk2 412435 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.29 ✓ FT Torpedo Moskva1 FK Neftekhimik0 652213 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC UFA 32%.

How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Shinnik.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.