Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗62% · @1.90
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.60
KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva preview and prediction
The match
Torpedo Moskva travel to KAMAZ Stadium in the First League on Sunday 1 November (14:00 WAT) to face KAMAZ. KAMAZ are 16th with 14 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Torpedo Moskva sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
KAMAZ's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Arsenal Tula 3–4 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Torpedo Moskva's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Rotor Volgograd 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Torpedo Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Torpedo Moskva 2–0 KAMAZ.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for KAMAZ and 1.9 for Torpedo Moskva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KAMAZ 13%, draw 25%, Torpedo Moskva 62%.
Safer route: Torpedo Moskva or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.82.
Value angle: Torpedo Moskva to win at 1.90 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Torpedo Moskva or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: KAMAZ 0–1 Torpedo Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KAMAZ13%fair 7.41 · @3.82
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.35
Torpedo Moskva62%fair 1.62 · @1.90
2.66Expected goals
0.78KAMAZ xG
1.88Torpedo Moskva xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: KAMAZ 0.8 – 1.9 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Torpedo Moskva or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers KAMAZ have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Torpedo Moskva 62%.
How many goals will there be in KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our predicted score is KAMAZ 0–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva?
KAMAZ vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at KAMAZ Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
