Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd preview and prediction
The match
Rotor Volgograd travel to Arena Khimki in the First League on Friday 23 October (16:00 WAT) to face Torpedo Moskva. Torpedo Moskva are 3rd with 32 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Rotor Volgograd sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Torpedo Moskva's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Enisey 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Rotor Volgograd's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to FC Sochi 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Torpedo Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Torpedo Moskva and 0.8 for Rotor Volgograd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torpedo Moskva 60%, draw 20%, Rotor Volgograd 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Torpedo Moskva to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Torpedo Moskva 2–0 Rotor Volgograd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torpedo Moskva60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.35
Rotor Volgograd20%fair 4.90 · @4.05
2.55Expected goals
1.71Torpedo Moskva xG
0.85Rotor Volgograd xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.7 – 0.8 Rotor Volgograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.52
–
Form
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
WWWDDL
17 Oct
@ Enisey
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Leningradets
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Torpedo Zhodino
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ FC UFA
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Veles
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Nizhny Novgorod
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
LDWWLD
16 Oct
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
2–2
D
17 Sep
@ Tekstilshchik
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Enisey
4–0
W
9 Sep
@ Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and Rotor Volgograd.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rotor Volgograd 20%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 2–0 Rotor Volgograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd?
Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd (First League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
